The European Commission and its institutionally powerful trade unit are closer than ever to the US and its China policy line. The world must prepare for the fact that in the coming years, global geopolitics and economics will be shaped by actors including Washington, Beijing and Brussels. This will not positively affect global security and geopolitics, reduce conflict risks, nor create a balanced deterrence environment. With a recession looming, the US, like other developed economies, may experience a hard landing - and it should take into account the fact that it may need help in fulfilling its role in the global geopolitical agenda. As the threat rises of the Balkanisation of the global economy, geopolitical risks could also reach a boiling point.
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